WIKINDX Resources
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Chuine, I., & Beaubien, E. G. (2001). Phenology is a major determinant of tree species range. Ecology Letters, 4, 500–510.
Added by: Eric Peterson 2007-10-23 12:52:43
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Categories: General
Creators: Beaubien, Chuine
Collection: Ecology Letters
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Number of views: 109
Popularity index: 71.24%
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Abstract
Global warming is expected to have a major impact on plant distributions, an issue of
key importance in biological conservation. However, very few models are able to predict
species distribution accurately, although we know species respond individually to climate
change. Here we show, using a process-based model (PHENOFIT), that tree species
distributions can be predicted precisely if the biological processes of survival and
reproductive success only are incorporated as a function of phenology. These predictions
showed great predictive power when tested against present distributions of two North
American species ± quaking aspen and sugar maple ± indicating that on a broad scale,
the fundamental niche of trees coincides with their realized niche. Phenology is shown
here to be a major determinant of plant species range and should therefore be used to
assess the consequences of global warming on plant distributions, and the spread of alien
plant species.
Added by: Eric Peterson
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